US Break-even inflation tracker



U.S. 10-year TIPS breakeven rate rises after auction


NEW YORK, March 19 Thu Mar 19, 2015 3:05pm EDT

(Reuters) - The U.S. bond market's gauge of inflation expectations in the next 10 years
climbed to its strongest level in more than a week on Thursday following robust demand at $13 billion
auction of 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). http://ow.ly/KDOCF


The U.S. market is sending a worrisome signal on inflation

By Ben Eisen, Sept 25, 2014

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Investors are downgrading their expectations for inflation over the next half decade, sending a concerning signal about the pace of the U.S. economic recovery.


Market-implied inflation forecasts took a nose-dive after Federal Reserve policy members suggested a more aggressive timeline for hiking key short-term interest rates last Wednesday.

By Daniel Kruger  Mar 1, 2014 6:00 AM GMT+0100

The difference in yields on 10-year notes and inflation-protected debt, known as the  #break-even rate, widened widened by 0.02 percentage point to 2.18 percentage points, the most since Feb. 13, after a separate report showed a pickup in consumer spending even as the economy grew at a slower-than-predicted pace in the last three months of 2013.

By Wes Goodman February 27, 2014

Treasuries headed for their biggest weekly advance this month, eking out a February gain as signs of slowing #growth sent a gauge of #inflation #expectations tumbling.

“Yields should go down,” said Hideo Shimomura, chief fund investor in Tokyo at Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management Co., which oversees the equivalent of about $78.4 billion. “Growth is slowing, and it’s not temporary.”

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